Performance of the Large Language Model ChatGPT on the National Nurse Examinations in Japan: Evaluation Study.

BACKGROUND: ChatGPT, a large language model, has shown good performance on physician certification examinations and medical consultations. However, its performance has not been examined in languages other than English or on nursing examinations. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the performance of ChatGPT on the Japanese National Nurse Examinations. METHODS: We evaluated the percentages of correct answers provided by ChatGPT (GPT-3.5) for all questions on the Japanese National Nurse Examinations from 2019 to 2023, excluding inappropriate questions and those containing images. Inappropriate questions were pointed out by a third-party organization and announced by the government to be excluded from scoring. Specifically, these include "questions with inappropriate question difficulty" and "questions with errors in the questions or choices." These examinations consist of 240 questions each year, divided into basic knowledge questions that test the basic issues of particular importance to nurses and general questions that test a wide range of specialized knowledge. Furthermore, the questions had 2 types of formats: simple-choice and situation-setup questions. Simple-choice questions are primarily knowledge-based and multiple-choice, whereas situation-setup questions entail the candidate reading a patient's and family situation's description, and selecting the nurse's action or patient's response. Hence, the questions were standardized using 2 types of prompts before requesting answers from ChatGPT. Chi-square tests were conducted to compare the percentage of correct answers for each year's examination format and specialty area related to the question. In addition, a Cochran-Armitage trend test was performed with the percentage of correct answers from 2019 to 2023. RESULTS: The 5-year average percentage of correct answers for ChatGPT was 75.1% (SD 3%) for basic knowledge questions and 64.5% (SD 5%) for general questions. The highest percentage of correct answers on the 2019 examination was 80% for basic knowledge questions and 71.2% for general questions. ChatGPT met the passing criteria for the 2019 Japanese National Nurse Examination and was close to passing the 2020-2023 examinations, with only a few more correct answers required to pass. ChatGPT had a lower percentage of correct answers in some areas, such as pharmacology, social welfare, related law and regulations, endocrinology/metabolism, and dermatology, and a higher percentage of correct answers in the areas of nutrition, pathology, hematology, ophthalmology, otolaryngology, dentistry and dental surgery, and nursing integration and practice. CONCLUSIONS: ChatGPT only passed the 2019 Japanese National Nursing Examination during the most recent 5 years. Although it did not pass the examinations from other years, it performed very close to the passing level, even in those containing questions related to psychology, communication, and nursing.

Risk factors for cardiovascular diseases in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: an umbrella review.

Cardiovascular disease in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) remains one of the most common causes of death and is caused by several factors, including both traditional and disease-specific risk factors. We aimed to systematically appraise the evidence of cardiovascular disease risk factors focusing on the SLE population. The protocol for this umbrella review is registered in PROSPERO (registration no. CRD42020206858). A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library from database inception to June 22, 2022, for systematic reviews and meta-analyzes that examined cardiovascular disease risk factors in patients with SLE. Two reviewers independently extracted data and assessed the quality of the included studies using the "Assessing the Methodological Quality of Systematic Reviews 2 (AMSTER 2)" tool. Of the 102 identified articles, nine systematic reviews were included in this umbrella review. All included systematic reviews were assessed as critically low quality according to the AMSTER 2 tool. The traditional risk factors identified in this study were older age, male sex, hypertension, dyslipidemia, smoking, and a family history of cardiovascular disease. SLE-specific risk factors were long-term disease duration, lupus nephritis, neurological disorders, high disease activity, organ damage, use of glucocorticoids, azathioprine, and antiphospholipid antibodies, including anticardiolipin antibodies and lupus anticoagulant. This umbrella review identified some cardiovascular disease risk factors in patients with SLE; however, the study quality of all included systematic reviews was critically low. Key Points • We examined the evidence of cardiovascular disease risk factors focusing on patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. • We found that long-term disease duration, lupus nephritis, neurological disorders, high disease activity, organ damage, use of glucocorticoids, azathioprine, and antiphospholipid antibodies, including anticardiolipin antibodies and lupus anticoagulant, were cardiovascular disease risk factors among patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. • The review indicates the need for well-validated and high-quality future reviews that assess major adverse cardiovascular events as an outcome in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

Factors associated with osteoporosis and fractures in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: Kyoto Lupus Cohort.

OBJECTIVES: Osteoporosis and compression fractures of the lumbar spine are some of the major adverse effects of glucocorticoid therapy in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). This study examined the association between bone mineral density, bone turnover markers, presence of vertebral fractures, and Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index in SLE patients. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study of 246 outpatients with SLE at the Kyoto University Hospital. Lumbar and femoral bone mineral density was measured with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, and the presence of vertebral fractures was determined using X-ray, computed tomography, or magnetic resonance imaging. RESULTS: On multiple regression analysis, both high lumbar and femoral T-scores were associated with the concomitant use of hydroxychloroquine (P = .018 and P = .037, respectively), no use of bisphosphonate or denosumab (P = .004 and P = .038, respectively), high body mass index (P < .001), and low bone-specific alkaline phosphatase level (P = .014 and P = .002, respectively). Vertebral fractures showed a significant association with Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index score (P < .001) and femoral T-score (P < .001). CONCLUSION: Vertebral fracture was associated with SLE-associated organ damage, and serum bone-specific alkaline phosphatase level is a potentially useful marker for osteoporosis monitoring in SLE patients.

Decline in oral antimicrobial prescription in the outpatient setting after nationwide implementation of financial incentives and provider education: An interrupted time-series analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the impact of nationwide outpatient antimicrobial stewardship interventions in the form of financial incentives for providers and provider education when antimicrobials are deemed unnecessary for uncomplicated respiratory infections and acute diarrhea. METHODS: We collected data from a large claims database from April 2013 through March 2020 and performed a quasi-experimental, interrupted time-series analysis. The outcome of interest was oral antimicrobial prescription rate defined as the number of monthly antimicrobial prescriptions divided by the number of outpatient visits each month. We examined the effects of financial incentive to providers (ie, targeted prescriptions for those aged ≤2 years) and provider education (ie, targeted prescriptions for those aged ≥6 years) on the overall antimicrobial prescription rates and how these interventions affected different age groups before and after their implementation. RESULTS: In total, 21,647,080 oral antimicrobials were prescribed to 2,920,381 unique outpatients during the study period. At baseline, prescription rates for all age groups followed a downward trend throughout the study period. Immediately after the financial incentive implementation, substantial reductions in prescription rates were observed among only those aged 0-2 years (-47.5 prescriptions per 1,000 clinic visits each month; 95% confidence interval, -77.3 to -17.6; P = .003), whereas provider education immediately reduced prescription rates in all age groups uniformly. These interventions did not affect the long-term trend for any age group. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that the nationwide implementation of financial incentives and provider education had an immediate effect on the antimicrobial prescription but no long-term effect.

Management of sarcopenia in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

This review summarizes the evidence for the management of sarcopenia in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in terms of drugs, exercise, and nutrition. Sarcopenia is a decrease in skeletal muscle mass and muscle strength or physical function. The prevalence of sarcopenia in patients with RA is higher than that in the general population. The treatment and management of sarcopenia in patients with RA are clinically important for long-term prognosis. One of the mechanisms of muscle metabolism is the pro-inflammatory cytokine pathway, which involves tumour necrosis factor α and interleukin-6, and is a common pathway in the pathogenesis of RA. Thus, tumour necrosis factor α and interleukin-6 inhibitors may play a potential role in controlling sarcopenia. In exercise therapy, a combination of moderate resistance and aerobic exercise may be effective in improving muscle strength, muscle mass, and physical function; however, intense exercise may exacerbate the inflammatory response in RA. Regarding nutrition, protein intake is generally considered beneficial, but other nutrients such as vitamin D and carotenoids have also been studied. Overall, there remains a lack of concrete evidence on sarcopenia treatment and management in patients with RA from any perspective; more longitudinal and intervention studies are needed in the future.

Predicting Smoking Prevalence in Japan Using Search Volumes in an Internet Search Engine: Infodemiology Study.

BACKGROUND: Tobacco smoking is an important public health issue and a core indicator of public health policy worldwide. However, global pandemics and natural disasters have prevented surveys from being conducted. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to predict smoking prevalence by prefecture and sex in Japan using Internet search trends. METHODS: This study used the infodemiology approach. The outcome variable was smoking prevalence by prefecture, obtained from national surveys. The predictor variables were the search volumes on Yahoo! Japan Search. We collected the search volumes for queries related to terms from the thesaurus of the Japanese medical article database Ichu-shi. Predictor variables were converted to per capita values and standardized as z scores. For smoking prevalence, the values for 2016 and 2019 were used, and for search volume, the values for the April 1 to March 31 fiscal year (FY) 1 year prior to the survey (ie, FY 2015 and FY 2018) were used. Partial correlation coefficients, adjusted for data year, were calculated between smoking prevalence and search volume, and a regression analysis using a generalized linear mixed model with random effects was conducted for each prefecture. Several models were tested, including a model that included all search queries, a variable reduction method, and one that excluded cigarette product names. The best model was selected with the Akaike information criterion corrected (AICC) for small sample size and the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). We compared the predicted and actual smoking prevalence in 2016 and 2019 based on the best model and predicted the smoking prevalence in 2022. RESULTS: The partial correlation coefficients for men showed that 9 search queries had significant correlations with smoking prevalence, including cigarette (r=-0.417, P<.001), cigar in kanji (r=-0.412, P<.001), and cigar in katakana (r=-0.399, P<.001). For women, five search queries had significant correlations, including vape (r=0.335, P=.001), quitting smoking (r=0.288, P=.005), and cigar (r=0.286, P=.006). The models with all search queries were the best models for both AICC and BIC scores. Scatter plots of actual and estimated smoking prevalence in 2016 and 2019 confirmed a relatively high degree of agreement. The average estimated smoking prevalence in 2022 in the 47 prefectures for the total sample was 23.492% (95% CI 21.617%-25.367%), showing an increasing trend, with an average of 29.024% (95% CI 27.218%-30.830%) for men and 8.793% (95% CI 7.531%-10.054%) for women. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the search volume of tobacco-related queries in internet search engines can predict smoking prevalence by prefecture and sex in Japan. These findings will enable the development of low-cost, timely, and crisis-resistant health indicators that will enable the evaluation of health measures and contribute to improved public health.

Association between ICU admission during off-hours and in-hospital mortality: a multicenter registry in Japan.

BACKGROUND: The effect of ICU admission time on patient outcomes has been shown to be controversial in several studies from a number of countries. The imbalance between ICU staffing and medical resources during off-hours possibly influences the outcome for critically ill or injured patients. Here, we aimed to evaluate the association between ICU admission during off-hours and in-hospital mortality in Japan. METHODS: This study was an observational study using a multicenter registry (Japanese Intensive care PAtient Database). From the registry, we enrolled adult patients admitted to ICUs from April 2015 to March 2019. Patients with elective surgery, readmission to ICUs, or ICU admissions only for medical procedures were excluded. We compared in-hospital mortalities between ICU patients admitted during off-hours and office-hours, using a multilevel logistic regression model which allows for the random effect of each hospital. RESULTS: A total of 28,200 patients were enrolled with a median age of 71 years (interquartile range [IQR], 59 to 80). The median APACHE II score was 18 (IQR, 13 to 24) with no significant difference between patients admitted during off-hours and those admitted during office-hours. The in-hospital mortality was 3399/20,403 (16.7%) when admitted during off-hours and 1604/7797 (20.6%) when admitted during office-hours. Thus, off-hours ICU admission was associated with lower in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio 0.91, [95% confidence interval, 0.84-0.99]). CONCLUSIONS: ICU admissions during off-hours were associated with lower in-hospital mortality in Japan. These results were against our expectations and raised some concerns for a possible imbalance between ICU staffing and workload during office-hours. Further studies with a sufficient dataset required for comparing with other countries are warranted in the future.

The Fragility of Statistically Significant Results in Randomized Clinical Trials for COVID-19.

Importance: Interpreting results from randomized clinical trials (RCTs) for COVID-19, which have been published rapidly and in vast numbers, is challenging during a pandemic. Objective: To evaluate the robustness of statistically significant findings from RCTs for COVID-19 using the fragility index. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study included COVID-19 trial articles that randomly assigned patients 1:1 into 2 parallel groups and reported at least 1 binary outcome as significant in the abstract. A systematic search was conducted using PubMed to identify RCTs on COVID-19 published until August 7, 2021. Exposures: Trial characteristics, such as type of intervention (treatment drug, vaccine, or others), number of outcome events, and sample size. Main Outcomes and Measures: Fragility index. Results: Of the 47 RCTs for COVID-19 included, 36 (77%) were studies of the effects of treatment drugs, 5 (11%) were studies of vaccines, and 6 (13%) were of other interventions. A total of 138 235 participants were included in these trials. The median (IQR) fragility index of the included trials was 4 (1-11). The medians (IQRs) of the fragility indexes of RCTs of treatment drugs, vaccines, and other interventions were 2.5 (1-6), 119 (61-139), and 4.5 (1-18), respectively. The fragility index among more than half of the studies was less than 1% of each sample size, although the fragility index as a proportion of events needing to change would be much higher. Conclusions and Relevance: This cross-sectional study found a relatively small number of events (a median of 4) would be required to change the results of COVID-19 RCTs from statistically significant to not significant. These findings suggest that health care professionals and policy makers should not rely heavily on individual results of RCTs for COVID-19.

Association between the Suita Score and Stroke Recurrence in Patients with First-ever Ischemic Stroke: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Objective The Suita score is used to predict the 10-year prognosis of developing coronary heart disease (CHD). This study examined the association between the Suita score and stroke recurrence within one year in Japanese patients who experienced first-ever ischemic stroke. Methods This prospective cohort study at a stroke center in Japan included patients who experienced first-ever acute ischemic stroke (AIS) or a transient ischemic attack (TIA). During hospitalization, the Suita score was measured as the main exposure. Patients with a ≥5% predicted CHD risk were classified into the high-risk group. The primary outcome was stroke recurrence within one year of the stroke onset. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was conducted and adjusted for confounding and prognostic factors. Results Among the 1,204 patients evaluated, 937 (78%) were classified as having a high risk of developing CHD. Stroke recurrence was observed in 66 patients during the follow-up period. In the multivariate analysis, after adjusting for confounding and prognostic factors, such as non-small vessel occlusion and prescription of lipid-lowering agents at the time of discharge, a ≥5% predicted CHD risk was associated with the 1-year stroke recurrence after the initial onset [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) =2.20, 95% confidence interval (CI) =1.00-4.91, p=0.049; adjusted HR=2.00, 95% CI=1.01-4.14, p=0.048; adjusted HR=0.42, 95% CI=0.24-0.73, p=0.002]. Conclusion The Suita score, adapted for use in ischemic stroke with the same mechanism, correlated with the short-term recurrence within one year. Our findings suggest that the Suita score may be useful for predicting the long-term prognosis of developing CHD as well as the short-term recurrence for patients with first-ever AIS and TIA.

Development and internal validation of a clinical prediction model for acute adjacent vertebral fracture after vertebral augmentation : the AVA score.

AIMS: To develop and internally validate a preoperative clinical prediction model for acute adjacent vertebral fracture (AVF) after vertebral augmentation to support preoperative decision-making, named the after vertebral augmentation (AVA) score. METHODS: In this prognostic study, a multicentre, retrospective single-level vertebral augmentation cohort of 377 patients from six Japanese hospitals was used to derive an AVF prediction model. Backward stepwise selection (p < 0.05) was used to select preoperative clinical and imaging predictors for acute AVF after vertebral augmentation for up to one month, from 14 predictors. We assigned a score to each selected variable based on the regression coefficient and developed the AVA scoring system. We evaluated sensitivity and specificity for each cut-off, area under the curve (AUC), and calibration as diagnostic performance. Internal validation was conducted using bootstrapping to correct the optimism. RESULTS: Of the 377 patients used for model derivation, 58 (15%) had an acute AVF postoperatively. The following preoperative measures on multivariable analysis were summarized in the five-point AVA score: intravertebral instability (≥ 5 mm), focal kyphosis (≥ 10°), duration of symptoms (≥ 30 days), intravertebral cleft, and previous history of vertebral fracture. Internal validation showed a mean optimism of 0.019 with a corrected AUC of 0.77. A cut-off of ≤ one point was chosen to classify a low risk of AVF, for which only four of 137 patients (3%) had AVF with 92.5% sensitivity and 45.6% specificity. A cut-off of ≥ four points was chosen to classify a high risk of AVF, for which 22 of 38 (58%) had AVF with 41.5% sensitivity and 94.5% specificity. CONCLUSION: In this study, the AVA score was found to be a simple preoperative method for the identification of patients at low and high risk of postoperative acute AVF. This model could be applied to individual patients and could aid in the decision-making before vertebral augmentation. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(1):97-102.

Temporal Validation of an Assessment Tool that Predicts a Possibility of Home Discharge for Patients with Acute Stroke.

OBJECTIVES: Several prediction models have been developed to assess discharge destinations for patients with acute stroke; however, few studies have performed external validation. We aimed to perform a temporal external validation of a prediction tool to identify stroke patients with a high possibility of discharge to home. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From December 2017 to July 2019, consecutive patients with acute stroke were included. Clinical nurses and physical therapists applied the prediction model to assess the patients' possibility of home discharge. Whether or not the patient was discharged their own home was the outcome measured. We calculated the sensitivity and specificity of the model and evaluated the discrimination and calibration based on the area under the curve (AUC) and the calibration plot. RESULTS: Of the 1214 patients assessed, 618 (51%) were discharged home. Using the same cutoff values recommended in the study that first described the tool, we determined the sensitivity and specificity of 91% and 59%, respectively. The AUC to assess the model discrimination was 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.82) and the calibration plot showed acceptable agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The tool showed a high sensitivity, as expected, in the present study, which examined external validity during the different study periods.

Perceptions and behaviours related to COVID-19 in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: To study the perceptions and behavioural changes related to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and determine their associations with patient characteristics, such as health literacy. METHODS: This cross-sectional study was conducted from September to November of 2020 and included 400 outpatients with RA aged 18 and above. We measured self-reported perceptions as outcomes, such as awareness, knowledge and behaviours related to COVID-19. Health literacy and other characteristics as exposures were investigated using self-report questionnaires and electronic health records. To analyse the association between patient factors and the outcomes, multivariable linear and logistic regression models were performed. RESULTS: In total, 365 patients completed the survey. More than half (51%) of patients reported that they were 'very worried' about possible infection with COVID-19, whereas over 80% believed the possibility of getting COVID-19 was low. In the multivariable analyses, patients with low health literacy had limited knowledge about COVID-19 and did not change daily routines and perform preventive measures. CONCLUSIONS: In this pandemic, healthcare providers may need to be aware of more vulnerable individuals and share COVID-19 related information promptly and effectively with their patients. Key Points • This cross-sectional study aimed to investigate the perceptions and behavioural changes related to COVID-19 in patients with RA. • All patients were aware of COVID-19 and most of them worried about getting infected. • Health literacy, age, sex, disease activity and rheumatic drugs were associated with perceptions and behaviours related to COVID-19.

Association between facility-level adherence to phosphorus management guidelines and mortality in haemodialysis patients: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between facility-level adherence to phosphorus management guidelines and mortality among patients with haemodialysis, and to explore the facility-related factors associated with facility-level guideline adherence. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: The Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Pattern Study, which included 57 representative dialysis facilities in Japan between 2012 and 2015. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 2054 adult patients who received maintenance haemodialysis were included. We defined exposure according to the following four categories, depending on whether facility-level target ranges of serum phosphorus concentration adhered to the Japanese clinical practice guidelines: adherence group (lower limit ≥3.5 mg/dL and upper limit ≤6.0 mg/dL), low-target group (lower limit <3.5 and upper limit ≤6.0), wide-target group (lower limit <3.5 and upper limit >6.0) and high-target group (lower limit ≥3.5 and upper limit >6.0). PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: The primary outcome was the patient all-cause mortality rate. RESULTS: The mortality rate among the patients was 7.3 per 100 person-years; 27 facilities (47%) set targets according to the guidelines. HRs for mortality with reference to the adherence group were 1.04 (95% CI 0.76 to 1.43) in the low-target group, 1.11 (95% CI 0.68 to 1.81) in the wide-target group and 1.95 (95% CI 1.12 to 3.38) in the high-target group. Involvement of dieticians in dialysis treatment was associated with facility-level guideline adherence (OR 4.51; 95% CI 1.15 to 17.7). CONCLUSIONS: A higher facility-level target range for phosphorus was associated with increased patient mortality. Among facilities that set the target according to the guidelines, dieticians tended to be involved in dialysis care. These findings suggest the importance of reviewing facilities' treatment policies in relation to updated guidelines and the need to work with relevant professionals.

Association of occupational direct radiation exposure to the hands with longitudinal melanonychia and hand eczema in spine surgeons: a survey by the society for minimally invasive spinal treatment (MIST).

PURPOSE: To investigate the association between occupational direct radiation exposure to the hands and longitudinal melanonychia (LM) and hand eczema in spine surgeons. METHODS: A web-based questionnaire survey of the Society for Minimally Invasive Spinal Treatment (MIST) in Japan was conducted. The proportion of LM and hand eczema in hands with high and low-radiation exposure was compared using Fisher's exact test. The odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the prevalence of LM and hand eczema in the high-radiation exposure hands were calculated using generalized estimating equations for logistic regression as control for the correlation of observations among the same individuals and possible confounders. RESULTS: Among 324 members of the society, responses were received from 229 members (70.7%). A total of 454 hands from 227 participants were analysed. The prevalence of LM and hand eczema was 43% and 29%, respectively. In a hand-by-hand comparison, more hands had LM in the high-radiation exposure group than the low-radiation exposure group (90 [40%] vs. 39 [17%], respectively, p < 0.001). A similar trend was observed for hand eczema (63 [28%] vs. 33 [15%], respectively, p = 0.001). The adjusted OR for high-radiation exposure hands was 3.18 (95% CI: 2.24-4.52). Consistent results were obtained for hand eczema, with an adjusted OR of 2.26 (95% CI: 1.67-3.06). CONCLUSION: The present study suggests that direct radiation exposure to physician's hands is associated with LM and hand eczema. Those with LM and radially biased hand eczema may have had high direct radiation exposure.

Correlation between irreversible organ damage and the quality of life of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: The Kyoto Lupus Cohort survey.

OBJECTIVES: It is important to clarify the relationship between irreversible organ damage and the quality of life (QOL) by considering the unique factors of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). We aimed to clarify their correlation using SLE-specific QOL assessment tools. We also aimed to identify which type of organ damage is adversely correlated with the QOL. METHODS: We conducted a questionnaire-based survey of outpatients with SLE at Kyoto University Hospital and evaluated irreversible organ damage using the SLICC/ACR damage index (SDI). LupusPRO and the SLE symptom checklist (SSC) were employed as SLE-specific QOL tools, and the SF-36v2 was used as a conventional QOL tool. Multiple linear regression analyses were performed to examine the correlations between the total SDI score and each QOL score, and between each SDI item/system score and each QOL score. RESULTS: We analyzed the data of 265 patients. The total SDI score was significantly correlated with physical (PCS) and role/social component summary (RCS) of the SF-36v2, health-related QOL (HRQOL) of LupusPRO, and SSC (p < 0.001). Among the SDI items, atrophy/weakness and osteoporosis with fracture/vertebral collapse were negatively correlated with PCS (ß = -0.40, p < 0.001/ß = -0.28, p < 0.001), RCS (ß = -0.30, p < 0.001/ß = -0.35, p < 0.001), and HRQOL (ß = -0.34, p < 0.001/ß = -0.31, p < 0.001), respectively. Among the SDI systems, musculoskeletal damage had higher negative correlations with PCS (ß = -0.51, p < 0.001), RCS (ß = -0.29, p < 0.001), and HRQOL (ß = -0.40, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We demonstrated the QOL of patients with SLE is negatively correlated with irreversible organ damage. We also revealed musculoskeletal damage is adversely correlated with the health-related QOL, especially the physical and role/social QOL.

Does COVID-19 infection impact on the trend of seasonal influenza infection? 11 countries and regions, from 2014 to 2020.

OBJECTIVES: Infection due to the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is dramatically widespread around the world. The COVID-19 pandemic could increase public concern to prevent infectious disease. The present study aimed to assess the relationship between the COVID-19 epidemic and the potential decrease in seasonal influenza cases. METHODS: This study was performed to show trends in seasonal influenza cases from the 2014-2015 season to the 2019-2020 season in 11 countries and regions, and evaluate whether the trends in the 2019-2020 season were different before and after the COVID-19 pandemic compared to previous seasons using a quasi-experimental difference-in-difference design. RESULTS: In East Asia, the number of seasonal influenza cases in the 2019-20 season was lower after the COVID-19 transmission compared to previous years. However, this was not the case in American countries or in European countries. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 epidemic might have altered health behaviors, resulting in an unexpected reduction of seasonal influenza cases.

No consistent evidence of data availability bias existed in recent individual participant data meta-analyses: a meta-epidemiological study.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of the study was to assess trial-level factors associated with the contribution of individual participant data (IPD) to IPD meta-analyses, and to quantify the data availability bias, namely the difference between the effect estimates of trials contributing IPD and those not contributing IPD in the same systematic reviews (SRs). STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We included SRs of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with IPD meta-analyses since 2011. We extracted trial-level characteristics and examined their association with IPD contribution. To assess the data availability bias, we retrieved odds ratios from the original RCT articles, calculated the ratio of odds ratios (RORs) between aggregate data (AD) meta-analyses of RCTs contributing IPD and those of RCTs not contributing IPD for each SR, and meta-analytically synthesized RORs. RESULTS: Of 728 eligible RCTs included in 31 SRs, 321 (44%) contributed IPD, whereas 407 (56%) did not. A recent publication year, larger number of participants, adequate allocation concealment, and impact factor ≥10 were associated with IPD contribution. We found the SRs yielded widely different estimates of RORs. Overall, there was no significant difference in the pooled effect estimates of AD meta-analyses between RCTs contributing and not contributing IPD (ROR 1.01, 95% confidence interval, 0.86-1.19). CONCLUSIONS: There was no consistent evidence of a data availability bias in recent IPD meta-analyses of RCTs with dichotomous outcomes. Higher methodological qualities of trials were associated with IPD contribution.

Hospitals' extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation capabilities and outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A population-based study.

AIM: Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) is the emerging resuscitative strategy to save refractory ventricular fibrillation (VF) or pulseless ventricular tachycardia (VT) patients. We investigated whether the receiving hospitals' ECPR capabilities are associated with outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients who have refractory VF or pulseless VT. METHODS: In a population-based cohort study performed in Kobe City, Japan, between 2010 and 2017, we identified all OHCA patients who had refractory VF or pulseless VT. Based on their ECPR capabilities, hospitals were categorised into ECPR facilities and conventional cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CCPR) facilities. We compared patient survivals between ECPR facilities and CCPR facilities by applying inverse probability weighting using a propensity score. RESULTS: Of all 10,971 OHCA patients, 518 had refractory VF or pulseless VT. The proportion of favourable neurologic outcomes was 43/188 (22.9%) in ECPR facilities and 28/330 (8.5%) in CCPR facilities. In the propensity analysis, hospitals' ECPR capabilities were associated with favourable neurologic outcomes (adjusted risk difference [ARD], 9.7% [95% confidence interval [CI], 3.7%-15.7%]; adjusted risk ratio [ARR], 2.01 [95% CI, 1.31-3.09]), and overall survival (87/188 [46.3%] vs. 67/330 [20.3%]; ARD, 19.0% [95% CI, 11.1%-26.9%]; ARR, 1.88 [95% CI, 1.45-2.44]). CONCLUSIONS: Hospitals' ECPR capabilities were associated with favourable neurologic outcomes in OHCA patients who had refractory VF or pulseless VT. We should take each hospital's ECPR capability into consideration when developing a regional system of care for OHCA.

Assessment Model to Identify Patients With Stroke With a High Possibility of Discharge to Home: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Discharge planning for inpatients with acute stroke can enhance reasonable use of healthcare resources, as well as improve clinical outcomes and decrease financial burden of patients. Especially, prediction for discharge destination is crucial for discharge planning. This study aimed to develop an assessment model to identify patients with a high possibility of discharge to home after an acute stroke. METHODS: We reviewed the electronic medical records of 3200 patients with acute stroke who were admitted to a stroke center in Japan between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2015. The outcome variable was the discharge destination of postacute stroke patients. The predictive variables were identified through logistic regression analysis. Data were divided into 2 data sets: the learning data set (n=2240) for developing the instrument and the test data set (n=960) for evaluating the predictive capability of the model. RESULTS: In all, 1548 (48%) patients were discharged to their homes. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified 5 predictive variables for discharge to home: living situation, type of stroke, functional independence measure motor score on admission, functional independence measure cognitive score on admission, and paresis. The assessment model showed a sensitivity of 85.0% and a specificity of 75.3% with an area under the curve equal to 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 0.86-0.89) when the cutoff point was 10. On evaluating the predictive capabilities, the model showed a sensitivity of 88.0% and a specificity of 68.7% with an area under the curve equal to 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.89). CONCLUSIONS: We have developed an assessment model for identifying patients with a high possibility of being discharged to their homes after an acute stroke. This model would be useful for health professionals to adequately plan patients' discharge soon after their admission.